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Week of February 25 - March 2, 2008


The Future of Small Business: The Artisan Economy

Intuit and the Institute for the Future have been producing an interesting series of reports on the future of small business. The third and final installment in the series examines the artisan economy, predicting that artisans are set to become a major economic force. When you think of artisans, don’t think of the traditional image of jewelers, watchmakers or other craftspeople. Intuit’s definition is broader and includes people with a host of creative and technical skills. The report projects the development of a “barbell economy,” where industry sectors are characterized by a few large corporate players and hundreds, if not thousands, of very small firms and entrepreneurs. Very few medium-sized firms will prosper in this new structure. However, small firms, even solo entrepreneurs, are well positioned to thrive in this new structure as they are best able to provide customers with highly targeted, customized and relevant products. The study also predicts a boom in globalized small firms. As cross border networks grow, doing business overseas will become a fact of life for small business. By 2018, analysts project that nearly half of US small businesses will be involved in global trade.

Download the 2008 Intuit Future of Small Business Report, Third Installment: The New Artisan Economy.


Peer Effects and Entrepreneurship

When it comes to starting a business, it does matter who you know. New research from Harvard’s Ramana Nanda and Stanford’s Jesper Sorenson examines how one’s career path affects one’s propensity to start a business. The researchers studied the career patterns of an entrepreneur’s co-workers, using a unique data set developed in Denmark. They find that an individual is more likely to become an entrepreneur if one’s co-workers have started a business in the past or if their careers have involved frequent movement between firms. The effects are strongest for those who do not have family members with entrepreneurial backgrounds. In this case, the experience of co-workers can sometimes substitute for effects of family background.

Download the 2007 Harvard Business School working paper (08-051), “Peer Effects and Entrepreneurship,” by Ramana Nanda and Jesper Sorenson.


New Business Births in Urban and Rural America

Experts have long contended that rural entrepreneurs face unique challenges because of distance from markets and more limited access to networks and other sources of support. New research sponsored by the US Small Business Administration Office of Advocacy provides some evidence that rural entrepreneurship might not be so different after all. The study compared rural and urban business starts using a new data series developed by the Census Bureau. The results show few differences between business start-up rates in urban and rural areas. Business start rates do differ across regions, but other factors—such as local industry mix and education levels----matter far more than whether a region is urban or rural.

Download the February 2008 US Small Business Administration Office of Advocacy sponsored research report, “Rural and Urban Establishment Births and Deaths Using the U.S. Census Bureau’s Business Information Tracking Series,” by Lawrence Plummer and Brian Headd.


Enterprise Europe Network

The European Union (EU) has recently unveiled yet another new initiative designed to help spur new business creation. The Enterprise Europe Network bills itself as “the largest network of contact points providing information and advice to EU companies on EU matters.” The site is a one stop shop for small and medium-sized enterprises seeking information on market opportunities, support programs, potential strategic partners, and new policy initiatives. It also includes a listing of more than 600 key partners and support agencies for every country within the EU.

Access the Enterprise Europe Network.


Youth and Microenterprise

While adult microenterprise programs are expanding across the globe, very few of these efforts focus on supporting youth. A new report from Making Cents International assesses the challenges and opportunities of building a global youth microenterprise movement. The report notes that new initiatives need to emphasize “livelihood development.” It’s not enough to help youth start a business; they also need support in other key areas such as life skills, career counseling, and financial literacy. They also recommend that non-profits and government agencies expand efforts to engage the private sector in support of youth microenterprise efforts.

Access the 2008 Making Cents International report, Youth Microenterprise and Livelihoods: State of the Field. Registration is required.


Angels Cautiously Optimistic About 2008

Despite a slowdown in the national economy and static angel investment activity levels for 2007, angel group leaders expressed optimism about the climate for investments in early-stage businesses in 2008 in a recent survey by the Angel Capital Association (ACA). Not only do nearly half of angel organizations expect deal flow to improve in both quantity and quality this year, but they expect investment activity to continue at the same level or increase somewhat this year over 2007. Nearly 55 percent of the respondents said that the number of investments and total dollars invested will increase this year, with another 32 percent believing that the activity would be the same as 2007. Predictions for positive exits were not as rosy. Fifty eight percent of responding angel group leaders did not think there would be any visible change in opportunities for acquisitions of their portfolio companies or Initial Public Offerings this year, after fewer angel groups experienced positive exits in 2007 compared to the previous year.

Access the 2008 Angel Group Confidence Report at www.angelcapitalassociation.org/dir_about/news.aspx..


The National Dialogue on Entrepreneurship is an initiative of the Public Forum Institute made possible by a grant from the Kauffman Foundation of Kansas City. Through NDE-news, we bring you short summaries and analyses of various trends driving entrepreneurship around the world. Subscribe now to receive your weekly copy. Archived issues are available online.


Kauffman Foundation The Public Forum Institute

National Dialogue on Entrepreneurship

Mark Marich, Editor

All stories © 2008 The Public Forum Institute
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